Professor Mark Strong
BSc MB ChB MPH MSc PhD MRCPCH FFPH FHEA CStat
Population Health, School of Medicine and Population Health
Dean of the School of Medicine and Population Health
Professor of Public Health
+44 114 222 0812
Full contact details
Population Health, School of Medicine and Population Health
Barber House
91̽»¨
S10 2HQ
- Profile
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PA: Francesca Baker
Email: f.a.baker@sheffield.ac.uk
I am Dean of the School of Medicine and Population Health (SMPH) and a Professor of Public Health.
I also hold an honorary clinical consultant contract with the at the Department of Health and Social Care.
- Research interests
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I have three related research interests that fall under the general banner of Uncertainty Quantification:
- How do we properly account for all relevant uncertainties when we build a computer model of a physical, biological or social system?
- How do we (efficiently) compute value of information?
- How do we work out the value of a computer model? How much should we pay to make a simple model more complex? When do we stop increasing the complexity of a model?
, Jim Chilcott and I have proposed an "internal" discrepancy-based method for managing model uncertainty. See , and that develops the idea of the 'Expected Value of Model Improvement'. The method is discussed in more detail in my .
We have proposed an efficient method for computing partial EVPI. This method works for any number of parameters of interest and requires only the PSA sample. See this in Medical Decision Making. R functions to implement the method can be downloaded here.
Our online web calculator for partial EVPI, , is easy to use: Just upload your PSA sample and SAVI does the rest.
SAVI is also available as an R package from GitHub. This allows users to run the SAVI app on their own machine, and removes the need to transfer any data over the net. Installation instructions.
The partial EVPI method extends nicely to the computation of EVSI. See here for our .
Current and recent projects
- Calibrated Agent Simulations for Combined Analysis of Drinking Etiologies (CASCADE): A US National Institutes of Health funded project on alcohol consumption (2016-2021). PI - Robin Purshouse.
- Systems Science in Public Health and Health Economic Research (): A major UK Prevention Research Partnership funded project that will generate evidence for healthy public policy through a systems-science approach (2019-2024). PI - .
- Publications
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Show: Featured publications All publications
Featured publications
Journal articles
- . Research Synthesis Methods.
- . Health Econ, 32(7), 1603-1625.
- . Med Decis Making, 272989X231162069.
- . Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 9, 95-118.
- . Medical Decision Making, 42(5), 612-625.
- . Medical Decision Making, 42(2), 143-155.
- . Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making, 40(5), 669-679.
- . Complexity, 2020, 1-20.
- . JASSS, 23(3), 1-25.
- . Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(6), 734-742.
- . Medical Decision Making, 40(3), 348-363.
- . Medical Decision Making, 40(3), 314-326.
- . Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(3), 277-286.
- . Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(2), 139-150.
- . Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(2), 191-199.
- . Medical Decision Making, 35(5), 570-583.
- . PLoS ONE, 10(6).
- . Medical Decision Making, 34(3), 311-326.
- . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1), 106-125.
- . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics.
Conference proceedings papers
Preprints
All publications
Journal articles
- . Value in Health.
- . Research Synthesis Methods.
- . BMJ Public Health, 1(1), e000172-e000172.
- . Mov Disord, 38(8), 1570-1572.
- . Journal of Pediatrics, 263.
- . Health Econ, 32(7), 1603-1625.
- . Med Decis Making, 272989X231162069.
- . Applied Health Economics and Health Policy.
- . Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 9, 95-118.
- . Medical Decision Making, 42(5), 612-625.
- . Medical Decision Making, 42(2), 143-155.
- . International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 18(21).
- . PharmacoEconomics, 39(12), 1373-1381.
- . Systematic reviews, 10(1), 142.
- . Appl Health Econ Health Policy.
- . J Public Health (Oxf).
- . International Journal of Microsimulation, 13(2), 21-60.
- . Medical decision making : an international journal of the Society for Medical Decision Making, 40(5), 669-679.
- . Complexity, 2020, 1-20.
- . JASSS, 23(3), 1-25.
- . Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(6), 734-742.
- . Medical Decision Making, 40(3), 348-363.
- . Medical Decision Making, 40(3), 314-326.
- . Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(3), 277-286.
- . Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(2), 139-150.
- . Value in health : the journal of the International Society for Pharmacoeconomics and Outcomes Research, 23(2), 191-199.
- . Archives of disease in childhood, 105(2), 155-159.
- . Journal of public health (Oxford, England), 42(2), 224-238.
- . Wellcome open research, 4, 174.
- . Genetics in Medicine.
- . The Lancet, 392(10159), 1995-2051.
- . The Lancet, 392(10159), 1859-1922.
- . The Lancet, 392(10159), 1789-1858.
- . Addiction, 113(11), 2051-2059.
- . PLoS ONE, 13(5).
- . SAGE Open, 8(2).
- . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 72(6), 519-525.
- . Health technology assessment (Winchester, England), 20(78), 407-424.
- . JAMA Pediatrics, 172(2).
- . BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 18(1).
- . American Journal of Medical Genetics Part B: Neuropsychiatric Genetics, 177(1), 35-39.
- . PLoS One, 13(4), e0194231.
- . PharmacoEconomics, 35(12), 1287-1296.
- . The Lancet, 390(10106), e38-e38.
- . The Lancet, 390(10100), 1084-1150.
- . The Lancet, 390(10100), 1151-1210.
- . BMC Infectious Diseases, 17(557).
- . The Lancet.
- . BMC Public Health, 17(1), 412-412.
- . BMC Infectious Diseases, 17, 322-322.
- . JMIR Research Protocols, 5(4), e243-e243.
- . Journal of Public Health & Epidemiology, 8(10), 191-203.
- . European Journal of Human Genetics, 24(10), 1515-1515.
- . The Lancet, 388(10053), 1813-1850.
- . Health Technology Assessment, 20(78), 1-406.
- . BMJ Open, 6, e012038-e012038.
- . BMC Public Health, 16(649).
- . Neurodegenerative Disease Management, 6(4), 331-343.
- . Value in Health, 19(4), 505-509.
- . Journal of Public Health, 38(2), 258-264.
- . Int J Epidemiol, 45(3), 707-712.
- . European Journal of Human Genetics, 24, 1396-1402.
- . BMJ Open, 6.
- . Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis, 17(5-6), 436-442.
- . Health Technol Assess, 20(1), 1-198.
- . BMJ Open, 5(11).
- . PLoS ONE, 10(8).
- . Medical Decision Making, 35(5), 570-583.
- . PLoS ONE, 10(6).
- Encouraging breastfeeding: Financial incentives. Practising Midwife, 18(2), 18-21.
- . Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation, 18(3).
- . International Journal of Obesity, 39(3), 535-541.
- Scabies. BMJ clinical evidence, 2014.
- . BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth, 14(1), 355-355.
- . Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology, 10, 27-28.
- . BMC Public Health, 14, 444.
- . Medical Decision Making, 34(3), 311-326.
- . Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 23(6), 552-571.
- . Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology.
- . SIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification, 2(1), 106-125.
- . Primary Care Respiratory Journal.
- . BMC Public Health, 14(1).
- . Health Technol Assess, 18(33), 1-120.
- . Trials, 14(S1).
- . BMC Med Res Methodol, 13, 103.
- . Med Decis Making, 33(6), 755-766.
- . The Lancet, 380, S70-S70.
- . BMJ, 344, e3824-e3824.
- . Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology.
- . PLoS Curr, 4, e4f8606b742ef3.
- . J Health Serv Res Policy, 17 Suppl 1, 31-39.
- . Evidence-Based Child Health: A Cochrane Review Journal, 6(6), 1790-1862.
- . Journal of Public Health, 33(4), 636-636.
- . Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series C: Applied Statistics.
- . Med Decis Making, 31(4), 571-581.
- . International Journal of Infectious Diseases, 15(5), e294-e297.
- . Med Decis Making, 31(6), 839-852.
- . J Public Health (Oxf), 33(4), 536-542.
- A poisoned chalice?. BMJ, 341, c4179.
- Adverse effects of oseltamivir. Pediatria Catalana, 70(3), 131.
- Adverse drug effects following oseltamivir mass treatment and prophylaxis in a school outbreak of 2009 pandemic influenza A(H1N1) in June 2009, 91̽»¨, United Kingdom.. Euro Surveill, 15(19), pii/19565.
- . BMC Health Services Research, 9.
- . BMJ, 339, b3249.
- . BRIT MED J, 337.
- Treating Scabies Results From an Updated Cochrane Review Reply. ARCH DERMATOL, 144(12), 1640-1641.
- Scabies. BMJ clinical evidence, 2008.
- Scabies.. BMJ Clin Evid, 2008.
- . BMJ, 335(7610), 60.
- . BMC Family Practice, 8.
- . International Journal of Health Geographics, 6.
- . COCHRANE DB SYST REV(3).
- . J PUBLIC HEALTH-UK, 28(3), 294-294.
- Scabies.. Clin Evid(15), 2284-2290.
- . Journal of Public Health, 28(1), 39-42.
- . Int J Health Geogr, 5, 29.
- . J Public Health Med, 24(2), 120-122.
- . PharmacoEconomics.
Chapters
- , Value of Information for Healthcare Decision-Making (pp. 92-168). Chapman and Hall/CRC
- , Bayesian Methods in Pharmaceutical Research (pp. 301-315).
- Chapman and Hall/CRC
- , Evidence-Based Dermatology (pp. 432-440). John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
Conference proceedings papers
- . British Association of Child and Adolescent Public Health
- AN EXTENDED SIMULATED TREATMENT COMPARISON APPROACH ACCOUNTING FOR UNOBSERVED CONFOUNDING IN INDIRECT COMPARISONS FOR SINGLE-ARM TRIALS. VALUE IN HEALTH, Vol. 25(12) (pp S358-S358)
- EXPECTED VALUE OF SAMPLE INFORMATION FOR SURVIVAL DATA FROM ONGOING TRIALS. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 41(4) (pp E343-E344)
- . Medical Decision Making, Vol. 40(1) (pp E1-E379)
- PRACTICAL CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE EFFICIENT COMPUTATION OF THE EXPECTED VALUE OF SAMPLE INFORMATION TO PRIORITIZE RESEARCH IN HEALTH CARE. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(1) (pp E63-E64)
- CALCULATING THE EXPECTED VALUE OF SAMPLE INFORMATION IN PRACTICE: CONSIDERATIONS FROM THREE CASE STUDIES. MEDICAL DECISION MAKING, Vol. 40(1) (pp E337-E338)
- . Value in Health, Vol. 22(Suppl 3) (pp S821-S821). Copenhagen, Denmark, 2 November 2019 - 2 November 2019.
- . The Lancet, Vol. 394 (pp S22-S22)
- . Proceedings of the Genetic and Evolutionary Computation Conference
- PLATFORM FOR CALIBRATED, SYSTEM-BASED MODELS OF ALCOHOL USE DYNAMICS. ALCOHOLISM-CLINICAL AND EXPERIMENTAL RESEARCH, Vol. 42 (pp 331A-331A)
- . Value in Health, Vol. 20(9) (pp A776-A776)
- . The Lancet, Vol. 390 (pp S75-S75)
- . Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, Vol. 87(Suppl 1) (pp A75.3-A75)
- . Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, Vol. 87(Suppl 1) (pp A59.2-A59)
- . Value in Health, Vol. 18(7) (pp A725-A726)
- . Value in Health, Vol. 18(7) (pp A343-A343)
- . European Journal of Public Health, Vol. 25(suppl_3)
- . The Lancet, Vol. 384 (pp S5-S5)
- . Value in Health, Vol. 17(7) (pp A584-A584)
- . Journal of Neurology, Neurosurgery & Psychiatry, Vol. 85(Suppl 1) (pp A80-A81)
- Views on the acceptability of financial incentives for breastfeeding: a qualitative study. LANCET, Vol. 382 (pp 103-103)
Reports
Posters
- Modelling recurrent event data: a comparison of the Cox proportional hazards model and three of its extensions to estimate the risk of recurrent healthcare-associated infections. Sixth Annual Survival Analysis for Junior Researchers.
- A Framework for the Economic Evaluation of Sequential Therapies for Chronic Conditions (2014). ISPOR.
- Understanding public health systems: a participatory systematic review and systems infographic.
- Early Years Policy in the UK - from the child’s perspective.
Other
Preprints
- , Center for Open Science.
- An Efficient Method for Computing Expected Value of Sample Information for Survival Data from an Ongoing Trial, arXiv.
- Calibration and Validation of the Microsimulation Model in Cancer of the Bowel (MiMiC-Bowel), an Individual Patient Simulation Model for Investigation of the Cost-effectiveness of Personalised Screening and Surveillance Strategies..
- , Research Square Platform LLC.
- , Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory.
- Computing the Expected Value of Sample Information Efficiently: Expertise and Skills Required for Four Model-Based Methods, arXiv.
- Calculating the Expected Value of Sample Information in Practice: Considerations from Three Case Studies, arXiv.
- Research group
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PhD students
- Teaching interests
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I teach on the Master in Public Health (MPH) course, the MSc in Health Economics and Decision Modelling course, and the medical undergraduate MB ChB degree. I also support registrars on the who are taking the DFPH exam.
PhD opportunities
I welcome PhD applications at any time. You are welcome to email me to discuss an idea before making an application. I supervise students who are interested in the topics of Value of Information and Uncertainty Quantification in health economic decision making.
Links