Dr Duncan Gillespie
PhD
Population Health, School of Medicine and Population Health
Senior Research Fellow
+44 114 222 4310
Full contact details
Population Health, School of Medicine and Population Health
Regent Court (ScHARR)
30 Regent Street
91̽»¨
S1 4DA
- Profile
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I aim to support decision-making to improve population health and reduce inequalities.
I'm interested in how population change results from changes in individuals' lives, and how inequalities in health and socio-economic situation are maintained during the process of population change. This research involves combining theory, qualitative, epidemiological and demographic data, and mathematical modelling to understand the link between individual and population change.
My research focuses on how to support decision makers to implement effective and equitable policy and interventions. This requires predicting their likely health, economic and wider societal effects, and thinking of new ways to present the outputs in terms of uncertainty-laden choices.
My current work in this area is mainly on tobacco and alcohol policy in the UK, where patterns of consumption are changing rapidly. I'm interested in opportunities to develop work in the area of cancer prevention, screening and improvement of outcomes. I'm also interested in developing this research in a global health context.
I am committed to developing open and reproducible code and software. I work primarily in the R environment. I am particularly interested in new ways to engineer mathematical modelling code to make it efficient, communicable and reusable across projects.
Keywords: Demography, ageing, public health modelling, epidemiology, inequality, health economics, population dynamics, R statistics, tobacco, alcohol and diet policy.
- Publications
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Show: Featured publications All publications
Featured publications
Journal articles
- . Addiction.
- . Addiction, 117(5), 1392-1403.
- . Public Health Research, 9(4).
- . The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care.
- . BMC Public Health, 21.
- . Addiction.
- . Tobacco Control.
- . Medical Decision Making.
- . Addiction.
- . Journal of Public Health.
- . Population Health Metrics, 18(1).
- . BMJ Open, 9(4).
- . Addiction, 112(5), 808-817.
- . BMC Public Health, 16:535.
- . International Journal of Cardiology, 203, 290-297.
- . BMC Public Health, 15(1).
- . International Journal of Cardiology, 185, 313-319.
- . PLoS ONE, 10(7).
- . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A55.2-A56.
- . PloS one, 9(6), e99482.
- . Demography, 51(3), 1003-1017.
- . NIHR Open Research, 3, 26-26.
Conference proceedings papers
- Using Framework Analysis Deductively: A case study from alcohol and tobacco tax policy and modelling research. Myths, Methods and Messiness: Insights for Qualitative Research Analysis: Edited Proceedings of the 5th Annual Qualitative Research Symposium' (pp 30-39). https://researchportal.bath.ac.uk/en/publications/myths-methods-and-messiness-insights-for-qualitati, 30 January 2019.
All publications
Journal articles
- . The Lancet Public Health.
- The potential smoke-free dividend across local areas in England: A cross-sectional analysis. Tobacco Control.
- . BMC Public Health, 24.
- . Drug and Alcohol Review.
- . International Journal of Drug Policy, 122, 104247-104247.
- . Addiction.
- . Addiction, 117(5), 1392-1403.
- . Public Health Research, 9(4).
- . The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care.
- .
- . BMC Public Health, 21.
- . Addiction.
- . Tobacco Control.
- . Medical Decision Making.
- . Addiction.
- . Journal of Public Health.
- . Population Health Metrics, 18(1).
- . Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 73(Suppl 1).
- . Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 73(Suppl 1).
- . Oral Presentations.
- . BMJ Open, 9(4).
- . Addiction, 112(5), 808-817.
- . BMC Public Health, 16:535.
- . International Journal of Cardiology, 203, 290-297.
- . BMC Public Health, 15(1).
- . International Journal of Cardiology, 185, 313-319.
- . PLoS ONE, 10(7).
- . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A49.1-A49.
- . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A35.2-A36.
- . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A55.2-A56.
- . Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, 68(Suppl 1), A53.1-A53.
- . PloS one, 9(6), e99482.
- . Demography, 51(3), 1003-1017.
- . Circulation, 129(suppl_1).
- . Evolution, 68(3), 886-892.
- . Evolution, 67(7), 1964-1974.
- . Ecology Letters, 15(11), 1283-1290.
- . Behavioral Ecology, 22(2), 445-446.
- . Biological Journal of the Linnean Society, 101(3), 680-688.
- . The American Naturalist, 176(2), 159-169.
- . Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, 275(1635), 713-722.
- . Journal of Evolutionary Biology, 20(5), 1674-1681.
- . Oecologia, 153(3), 749-760.
- . Tobacco Control.
- . NIHR Open Research, 3, 26-26.
- . NIHR Open Research, 3, 28-28.
- . NIHR Open Research, 3, 26-26.
- . NIHR Open Research, 3, 26-26.
- . Tobacco Prevention & Cessation, 9(Supplement).
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Conference proceedings papers
- . The Lancet, Vol. 394 (pp S54-S54). London, UK, 29 November 2019 - 29 November 2019.
- . The Lancet, Vol. 394 (pp S51-S51)
- Using Framework Analysis Deductively: A case study from alcohol and tobacco tax policy and modelling research. Myths, Methods and Messiness: Insights for Qualitative Research Analysis: Edited Proceedings of the 5th Annual Qualitative Research Symposium' (pp 30-39). https://researchportal.bath.ac.uk/en/publications/myths-methods-and-messiness-insights-for-qualitati, 30 January 2019.
- Incorporating the COM-B model for behavior change into an agent-based model of smoking behaviors: an object-oriented design. Proceedings of the 2024 Winter Simulation Conference. Orlando, Florida, 15 December 2024 - 15 December 2024.
Reports
- An Evidence-Based Model for Estimating Requirements for Specialist Alcohol Treatment Capacity in England The Specialist Treatment for Alcohol Model (STreAM) Version 1.0
Posters
- Comparing socioeconomic gradients in alcohol-related harm between the four UK countries (PHE Applied Epidemiology Scientific Meeting 18-19 March 2015).
Datasets
Other
Preprints
- Research group
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I currently work mainly with the 91̽»¨ Alcohol Research Group and the to develop the health and economic modelling of the effects of tobacco and alcohol policies and interventions.
Main current research themes
Alcohol, tobacco and e-cigarette pricing policy
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Stop smoking service evaluations
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- Professional activities and memberships
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- University of 91̽»¨ representative (with Dr Emma Hock) on 91̽»¨ City Council's Tobacco Control Board
- Deputy editor for the journal
- University of 91̽»¨ representative (with Dr Emma Hock) on 91̽»¨ City Council's Tobacco Control Board